Climate Change and Disaster Impacts on Rose Production: The Moderating Role of Farmer Institutions and Socioeconomic Characteristics

Muhammad Luthfie  Fadhilah; Levana Masitajasmin Putri; Nur Indah Cahyaningtyas

doi:10.58526/jsret.v5i2.1108

Authors

Muhammad Luthfie Fadhilah Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Sciences Universitas Diponegoro, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0087-1343
Levana Masitajasmin Putri Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Sciences, Universitas Diponegoro, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2080-5628
Nur Indah Cahyaningtyas Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Sciences Universitas Diponegoro, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0008-6082-1536

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58526/jsret.v5i2.1108

Keywords:

Climate Change, Farmer Characteristics, Partnership, Regression Analysis, Rose Production

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors affecting rose production, including climate and disaster impacts, farmer group membership, partnership, gender, age, and education. The research uses a quantitative approach with secondary data obtained from the Horticulture Household Survey (STH) conducted by the Central Java Bureau of Statistics, involving 107 farmers. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression with the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. The results show that, simultaneously, all independent variables significantly influence rose production, as indicated by the Prob(F-statistic) value of 0.0251 (< 0.05). However, partially, only age and education have a positive and significant effect on production, while climate and disaster impacts, farmer group membership, partnership, and gender do not show significant effects. These findings suggest that farmers’ human capital plays a more important role than environmental and institutional factors in determining production outcomes. The study implies that improving farmers’ education and experience is crucial to increasing productivity. Strengthening extension services and training programs is recommended to enhance farmers’ adaptive capacity and technical skills. Future research should include additional variables such as land size, input use, and technology adoption to provide a more comprehensive analysis.

Keywords: climate change, farmer characteristics, partnership, regression analysis, rose production

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abdulai, A., & Huffman, W. (2014). The adoption and impact of soil and water conservation technology. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(3), 597–620.

Ahmed, S., Stepp, J. R., Orians, C., Griffin, T., Matyas, C., Robbat, A., Cash, S., & Xue, D. (2018). Effects of climate variability on crop production. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 265, 1–10.

Awasthi, P., & Adhikari, S. P. (2024). Blooming markets: The economic dynamics of the Nepal rose trade. Heliyon, 10, e35585. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35585

Barrett, C. B., Bachke, M. E., Bellemare, M. F., Michelson, H. C., Narayanan, S., & Walker, T. F. (2012). Smallholder participation in contract farming. World Development, 40(4), 715–730.

Bellemare, M. F. (2012). As you sow, so shall you reap: The welfare impacts of contract farming. World Development, 40(7), 1418–1434.

Bryan, E., Deressa, T. T., Gbetibouo, G. A., & Ringler, C. (2009). Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia. Environmental Science & Policy, 12(4), 413–426.

Challinor, A. J., Watson, J., Lobell, D. B., Howden, S. M., Smith, D. R., & Chhetri, N. (2014). Climate change and crop productivity. Nature Climate Change, 4(4), 287–291.

Deressa, T. T., Hassan, R. M., & Ringler, C. (2009). Determinants of farmers’ adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 19(2), 248–255.

Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic econometrics (5th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin.

IPCC. (2021). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press.

Lesk, C., Rowhani, P., & Ramankutty, N. (2016). Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production. Nature, 529, 84–87.

Lobell, D. B., Schlenker, W., & Costa-Roberts, J. (2011). Climate trends and global crop production. Science, 333(6042), 616–620.

Meinzen-Dick, R., Di Gregorio, M., & McCarthy, N. (2014). Collective action in natural resource management. Agricultural Systems, 82(3), 197–214.

Ray, D. K., Gerber, J. S., MacDonald, G. K., & West, P. C. (2019). Climate variation explains crop yield variability. Nature Communications, 10(1), 1–8.

Vasco, C., Ortega, C., Cepeda, D., Salazar, D., & Pazmiño, J. (2024). The socioeconomic drivers of pesticide use in floriculture: Insights from greenhouse rose production in Ecuador. Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13412-024-00964-8

Wheeler, T., & von Braun, J. (2013). Climate change impacts on global food security. Science, 341(6145), 508–513.